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On the other hand, we look at the "dual track system" separately from the currency. Recently, there is a message that I don't know if you have paid attention to it, that is, the place.This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.Don't think that shipping is a bad word. If you don't speed up the shipment, you can't follow the trend without pulling the board. You have worked hard for one year, waiting for the event-driven east wind, and the fire will burn quickly. This is the enjoyment of "tulip bubble"

First, the economic transformation. Let's talk about the debt. In the past, our big bull markets all relied on the mapping of overseas currency issuance. As we said before, whether it was 05 or 15, it was essentially a small basin with a lot of water. The currency overflow caused by the rapid increase of foreign exchange reserves flooded into the stock market, and a crazy bull came quickly, including our institutional blue-chip bull in 1718. In essence, it was the rapid growth of foreign exchange reserves or the superposition of high reserves exceeding m2. Here is a message that everyone needs to pay attention to.So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.

It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?Concentrate on doing big things while deploying the market. When the normal operation of the economy is in the inflation range, the market has higher strength and efficiency in resource allocation, then the market has the final say. When it is in the shrinking range, the market deployment fails, such as our current long-term debt, so it is driven by policies. We must know that next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan to solve the debt. We must know the buyout reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan some time ago, unlessOne son will be fully revitalized.